Retirement saving: 2 reasons why I’m bullish on the prospects for the Shell share price

Royal Dutch Shell plc (LON: RDSB) appears to offer significant long-term investing potential.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With the oil price having soared in the last year, it is unsurprising that Shell (LSE: RDSB) has done likewise. The oil and gas major has recorded capital growth of 19% in the same time period, and there could be much more to come. Not only does the oil price have further upside potential, the company’s valuation still seems to be relatively low given its long-term potential.

Of course, Shell is not the only energy-related stock which could be worth buying. Reporting on Monday was an alternative energy company that could be a strong performer in the coming years.

Improving outlook

The oil price could continue the rise which has seen it move increasingly closer to $100 per barrel in recent months. Although the consensus among major oil-producing nations is for higher production over the medium term, the reality is that supply disruption remains a serious threat to global supply. The political outlook for Iran could lead to reduced production which is unable to be offset by higher production elsewhere. And with Venezuela also facing a period of political instability, it would be unsurprising for demand growth to exceed supply growth over the medium term.

This would clearly be good news for Shell. Even after its share price rise of recent months, it continues to offer a wide margin of safety given its diverse asset base. It has a dividend yield of 5.5%, which remains historically high for the company and suggests that investors remain cautious about its outlook.

Certainly, there is scope for further volatility in the stock’s valuation. The oil price could fall, for example, and hurt investor sentiment. However, with the company seeking to utilise its rising free cash flow to reduce debt and it being engaged in an asset disposal programme, its future appears to be highly sustainable. As such, the potential for a higher oil price and its low valuation mean that Shell could be a sound retirement stock.

Growth potential

Of course, cleaner forms of energy are likely to become increasingly in demand among consumers over the long run. As such, investing in energy storage and clean fuel company ITM Power (LSE: ITM) could be a shrewd move. The company released final results on Monday which showed that it continues to deliver on its development potential.

It was able to increase revenue by 53% versus the prior year, with it focusing its efforts on increasing headcount and planning larger production facilities. They could help it to deliver on its ambitious growth plans, while it seeks to maximise a growing portfolio of revenue-generating assets in the shape of the first real hydrogen refuelling network in the UK.

With ITM Power having raised £29.4m of working capital during the year, it appears to have the financial firepower to invest for future growth. While a lossmaking business today, in the long run it could deliver impressive financial performance and a rising share price.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Royal Dutch Shell B. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

I’d follow Warren Buffett and start building a £1,900 monthly passive income

With a specific long-term goal for generating passive income, this writer explains how he thinks he can learn from billionaire…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A £1k investment in this FTSE 250 stock 10 years ago would be worth £17,242 today

Games Workshop shares have been a spectacularly good investment over the last 10 years. And Stephen Wright thinks there might…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

10%+ yield! I’m eyeing this share for my SIPP in May

Christopher Ruane explains why an investment trust with a double-digit annual dividend yield is on his SIPP shopping list for…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will the Rolls-Royce share price hit £2 or £6 first?

The Rolls-Royce share price has soared in recent years. Can it continue to gain altitude or could it hit unexpected…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

How much should I put in stocks to give up work and live off passive income?

Here’s how much I’d invest and which stocks I’d target for a portfolio focused on passive income for an earlier…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

Does a dividend really make Alphabet stock more attractive?

Google parent Alphabet announced this week it plans to pay its first ever dividend. Our writer gives his take on…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Could starting a Stocks & Shares ISA be my single best financial move ever?

Christopher Ruane explains why he thinks setting up a seemingly mundane Stocks and Shares ISA could turn out to be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How I’d invest £200 a month in UK shares to target £9,800 in passive income annually

Putting a couple of hundred of pounds each month into the stock market could generate an annual passive income close…

Read more »